Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 1232.650718 1393.310872 1569.524174 1777.551607 2016.950276 2284.429984 2606.770317
2025-12-14 952.249900 1160.211263 1408.236400 1727.545969 2130.162736 2624.149902 3281.021829
2025-12-21 786.957311 1008.045834 1287.010938 1668.071824 2180.026242 2851.080486 3808.869580
2025-12-28 714.775196 954.388551 1271.274046 1726.330190 2371.750855 3267.527695 4628.045051
2026-01-04 649.057769 897.379529 1239.066971 1751.113085 2512.077479 3622.130944 5403.099844
2026-01-11 591.984751 843.710437 1202.314822 1760.330459 2624.833431 3943.682966 6167.858936
2026-01-18 543.980454 796.673387 1168.068385 1766.047818 2728.349244 4258.256182 6961.053376
2026-01-25 512.950296 770.813460 1161.208009 1810.633692 2894.712464 4688.755220 8006.034322
2026-02-01 483.665045 744.170307 1149.474004 1844.412562 3044.817213 5107.767982 9091.128290
2026-02-08 455.042203 715.487253 1131.019803 1863.781660 3170.596721 5497.597280 10179.472281
2026-02-15 429.986955 690.025607 1114.870839 1884.277959 3298.930592 5905.437966 11363.105983
2026-02-22 410.659473 672.129529 1109.250003 1921.710032 3460.862579 6393.984325 12784.430378
2026-03-01 377.596346 628.749327 1057.164880 1871.860578 3456.664486 6568.894695 13595.979001
2026-03-08 347.364471 587.899563 1006.108885 1818.897232 3440.572329 6718.664427 14381.010667
2026-03-15 318.806615 547.697535 952.720184 1755.897717 3396.612945 6804.125030 15033.030958
2026-03-22 310.458387 543.037634 963.405054 1817.609219 3613.376958 7468.593903 17161.315696
2026-03-29 297.987413 529.747578 956.740503 1843.865472 3758.398616 7995.766550 19054.611118
2026-04-05 284.467193 513.400776 942.792637 1853.631484 3868.490929 8458.512072 20872.453060
2026-04-12 271.592891 497.276497 927.873513 1859.689333 3970.696563 8916.471276 22767.341895
2026-04-19 264.227529 491.205439 932.182377 1906.935104 4172.202838 9641.708288 25548.993710
2026-04-26 256.080617 482.953560 931.351081 1942.734566 4351.110065 10337.162715 28396.299840
2026-05-03 246.925896 471.996985 924.048030 1963.264362 4495.661240 10966.049917 31184.399746
2026-05-10 238.475193 461.850748 917.590057 1984.990534 4645.748067 11632.141205 34240.560913